NZD/USD Price Analysis: Kiwi again fails to keep gains above 200-hour SMA

  • NZD/USD drops after facing rejection above the 200-hour SMA. 
  • The daily chart shows 50-day SMA is a crucial support.

NZD/USD now trades near 0.7206, representing a 0.18% drop on the day, having failed to establish a secure foothold above the 200-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) of 0.7219 several times early Friday. The average also proved a tough nut to crack on Thursday. 

The repeated rejection above the widely-followed technical hurdle may invite selling pressure, yielding a re-test of the 50-day SMA at 0.7171. 

A closer look at the daily chart reveals the 50-day SMA has offered support multiple times since Jan. 28 and is the level to defend for the bulls. A daily close below that would confirm a bearish reversal on the daily chart. 

A close above the Feb. 16 high of 0.7268 is needed to put the bulls into the driver's seat. 

Hourly and daily charts

Trend: Bearish below 50-day SMA

Technical levels

 

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