EUR/USD: Further worsening of energy crisis can trigger a drop to the 0.96-0.97 area – ING

Post the European Central Bank (ECB) meeting, the energy crisis should remain the key driver for the euro. Therefore, economists at ING expect the EUR/USD pair to remain skewed to the downside.

The 0.98-0.99 area could prove to be a near-term anchor

“We expect the energy story to return firmly to the driving seat for EUR/USD after the post-ECB reaction. Barring a very hawkish surprise, this should keep EUR/USD below parity and prevent it to reconnect with the more supportive rate differential.” 

“The 0.98-0.99 area could prove to be a near-term anchor for EUR/USD, but a further worsening of the energy crisis and/or further dollar strengthening can trigger a drop to the 0.96-0.97 area.”

See – ECB Preview: Forecasts from 12 major banks, even 75 bps is too little to lift the euro