Fed's deflation probability indicator falls back to zero

The chances of the US economy falling into deflation, a general decline in prices for goods and services, have declined to zero, according to Federal Reserve's deflation probability indicator. 

 

Deflation looked like a done deal a month ago when the indicator was hovering at 76.3%, the highest level since 2008. 

 

And while the deflation probability indicator has normalized, the market-based measures of inflation expectations, as represented by the 10-year breakeven inflation rate, have increased to 1.67%, the highest level since January 24, according to data source St. Louis Federal Reserve. 

 

Inflation expectations had dropped to a low of 0.52 in March as stocks collapsed on coronavirus-led global recession fears.