USD/CNH Technical Analysis: 100-day MA breached as expected, further losses likely

  • The USD/CNH pair has found acceptance below the 100-day moving average (MA) of 6.88 as expected.
  • The break below the key average support bolsters the already bearish setup, as represented by the symmetrical triangle breakdown on the daily chart, downward sloping 5- and 10-day SMAs and the bearish divergence of the 14-week relative strength index.
  • As a result, USD/CNH risks falling to 6.80 – 23.6 percent Fibonacci retracement of March low/November high.
  • The bearish view would be invalidated if the pair closes above the 10-day SMA, currently at 6.9226.

Daily Chart

Trend: Bearish

USD/CNH

Overview:
    Today Last Price: 6.853
    Today Daily change: -2.5e+2 pips
    Today Daily change %: -0.358%
    Today Daily Open: 6.8776
Trends:
    Previous Daily SMA20: 6.9343
    Previous Daily SMA50: 6.9246
    Previous Daily SMA100: 6.8815
    Previous Daily SMA200: 6.6374
Levels:
    Previous Daily High: 6.9509
    Previous Daily Low: 6.873
    Previous Weekly High: 6.9587
    Previous Weekly Low: 6.9306
    Previous Monthly High: 6.9808
    Previous Monthly Low: 6.8525
    Previous Daily Fibonacci 38.2%: 6.9028
    Previous Daily Fibonacci 61.8%: 6.9211
    Previous Daily Pivot Point S1: 6.8501
    Previous Daily Pivot Point S2: 6.8226
    Previous Daily Pivot Point S3: 6.7722
    Previous Daily Pivot Point R1: 6.928
    Previous Daily Pivot Point R2: 6.9784
    Previous Daily Pivot Point R3: 7.0059

 

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