AUD/NZD upside in tact, 1.1020 the next major target? - Westpac
Analysts at Westpac offered their outlook for the antipodean cross and rates.
Key Quotes:
"AUD/NZD 1 day: The positive trend remains intact, with 1.1020 the next major target (it was a major peak in March), somewhat dependant on the outcome of today’s AU CAPEX report.
AUD/NZD 1-3 month: A retest of the 1.1000 area seen in March is possible if iron ore’s rally since mid-June continues and global risk sentiment remains elevated. (29 Aug)
AU swap yields 1 day: The 3yr should open around 2.09%, the 10yr around 2.83%.
AU swap yields 1-3 month: Our RBA outlook (on hold for some time) is anchoring short-maturity interest rates and should keep 3yr swap rates in a 1.8% to 2.3% range, as long as core inflation remains below 2%. Longer maturity rates will largely follow US rates. (8 Aug)
NZ swap yields 1 day: NZ 2yr swap rates should open unchanged at 2.18%, the 10yr down 1bp at 3.12%, in response to US interest rates movement overnight.
NZ swap yields 1-3 month: Our RBNZ outlook (on hold throughout 2018) is anchoring is anchoring short-maturity interest rates and should keep 2yr swap rates in a 2.1% to 2.6% range, as long as inflation remains below 2%. Longer maturity rates will largely follow US rates."