Banxico Governor Carstens: Too early to talk rate cuts next year
Headlines crossed the wires earlier on the day from the Banco de Mexico (Mexican Central Bank) Governor Agustin Carstens, during his interview with Reuters.
Main Headlines:
Risk for peso include oil prices, relationship with US and surprises from US monetary policy
Mexico's current monetary policy is "much stronger" anchor on exchange rate
Mexico now better prepared for different outcomes that could result from NAFTA negotiation
NAFTA process has been smoother than expected, handled in professional way by both parties
Tight fiscal and monetary policies in place will help Mexico weather volatility related to Mexican 2018 elections and NAFTA renegotiation
Results of economic reforms should put Mexico in relatively favorable situation next year
Mexico's monetary policy position should not be a major factor in slowing the economy this year
Mexico's monetary policy is on higher end of neutrality towards restrictive
The majority of board considers that inflation will "for sure" peak in the second half of the year
His personal view is we are not very far away from inflation peak
So far we have been successful in avoiding second order effects on prices
We have not seen much pressure on inflation from wage increases
Tightness in labor market is something we will have to be very watchful of in coming months