USD/CHF nears parity as US Dollar Index moves below 100

As the US Dollar Index continues to move lower in the NA session, the USD/CHF pair accelerates its bearish momentum towards the significant parity level. At the moment, the pair is down 0.35% at 1.0015.

The bearish momentum seems to be fueled mainly by the increasing selling pressure around the greenback. Today's macro data from the U.S. came in below expectations but the traders, coming back from a long weekend, might have been getting rid of their long USD positions because of Friday's data. On Friday, the consumer inflation in the United States recorded a drop after rising for thirteen straight months.

The weak inflation seems to have taken a toll on June rate hike expectations. The CME Group FedWatch shows the probability of a June rate hike now at 46.5%, which has been moving above 60% last week. The USD Dollar Index is down 0.57% on the day at 99.92.

Technical outlook

With a break below 1.0000 (psychological level), the pair could extend the fall towards 0.9970 (200-DMA) and 0.9920 (Mar. 21 low). On the upside, resistances are aligned at 1.0060 (100-DMA), 1.0100 (psychological level/Apr. 10 high) and 1.0160 (Mar. 9 high).