AUD/NZD hovering around 1,0600

FXstreet.com (Córdoba) - After plunging to 1,0565 following CPI data from New Zealand yesterday, the AUD/NZD stabilized and since then it has been moving in range between 1.0560 and 1.0600. In a few minutes, Australian inflation data will be released.

Technical outlook for the AUD/NZD

The recovery from multi-year lows (1.0540) that started last Thursday, proved to be short-lived as the pair failed to break above 1.0700. Ahead of new economic data, the AUD/NZD is moving sideways in the mentioned small range.

On a wider view, the trend is bearish and according to Goncalo Moreira, FXStreet Technical Analyst, it could lead to an even lower AUD/NZD: “the cross remains below it's dynamic resistance on intraday charts, piercing the 2nd standard deviation band and keeping oscillators in relative oversold territory indicating exhaustion”.

Moreira notes that the near-term outlook for the pair hinged on New Zealand's CPI numbers, “the medium-term key event will be RBNZ's rate decision”.

Australian CPI next: AUD/USD reaction

Australia's CPI numbers (QoQ/YoY) are due at 00.30GMT, with the Q4 CPI‘headline’ expected at +0.4% vs prior of +1.2%, while the y/y is expected at 2.4% vs prior 2.2%. As to the ‘trimmed mean’ (measure the RBA focus the most), bearing in mind the RBA sets the ‘core’ inflation in a target band of 2% to 2.5%, the QoQ expected is at 0.6% vs prior of 0.7%, with the YoY expected at 2.3% vs unchanged prior of 2.3%.
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