What's the best trade for the UK in 2017? - Socgen

Kit Juckes, economist at Societe Generale explained that the simplest UK trade this year is to go short of longer-dated gilts, or pay 20year swaps. More inflation and deteriorating public finances along with uncertainty about Brexit, looks like a toxic mix.

Key Quotes:

"I think we could see 2% in 10year gilts, and 30s over 2.5%. Short GBP/SEK or GBP/USD are attractive trades too but the rates market offers more interesting opportunities here. The bottom line - the UK yield curve is too flat for the economic and policy outlook, in absolute terms and even more so relative to the European and US curves."

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