China: Signs of growth stabilising - Nomura

Analysts at Nomura’s noted that there are signs of growth stabilising.

Key Quotes:

"Our composite leading index for China rose in October, while the heat-map and the China growth surprise index also improved.

We believe this points to a stabilisation of growth momentum, and we expect real GDP growth to be relatively stable at 6.6% y-o-y in Q4 from 6.7% in Q3.

Our China monetary policy signal index rose to 0.62 in December, which suggests a higher likelihood of monetary easing. We think any easing would likely be implemented through other forms such as a liquidity injection and/or RMB depreciation, rather than rate cuts."

USD/CNY fix model: Projection at 6.9052 - Nomura

Nomura's model projects the fix to be 187 pips higher than the previous fix (6.9052 from 6.8865) and 182 pips higher than the previous official spot U
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