US: Who will be the next President? – FXStreet Survey

Research Team at FXStreet, tried to grasp the sentiment of their experts regarding the outcome of the US presidential elections and mentioned below is how our experts answered to the question.

Key Quotes

“National polls have been showing a notable Clinton lead for weeks but in the last days have shifted to a more close outcome, with some giving a close lead to Donald Trump after the FBI reopened investigations on the email case against the Democrat candidate. We must note here that the answers to this survey were given prior to this late turn of events, so the results might have looked a bit less lopsided if the same question was asked today. That said, several experts warn of a more uncertain result than “what is expected”.

Oisin Breen, Technical Analyst at Accendo Markets, notes that “journalists and generally most people I talk to are 100% convinced it will be Clinton and the rationalist in me tends to agree, however, recent events put analytical certainty, regarding politics at least, in question. Presently, amongst a sizeable proportion of the populations of developed nations, there is a strong and consistent backlash against the expert and against fact”.

While Breen still picks (as all the experts but one do) Clinton to win, he foresees a race much closer than the 80% odds that were out there for her to be elected. He was not the only one to give such kind of an answer, as Joseph Trevisani, Chief Market Strategist at World Wide Markets, also brought this reasoning: “it is difficult to gainsay the polls, but I think the election will be much closer than predicted and Trump’s chance of winning is considerably higher than portrayed by the media”. And with the margin between candidates narrowing according to the latest polls, they might already have been right.