EUR/CHF at a cross road

EUR/CHF is currently experiencing a high volatility environment, but lacks a dominant mid-term trend.

From a trend following perspective, the technical set-up could be more combustible if ADX where not below 30 on the 1-hour chart. Endorsing this view, a 50-period simple moving average trapped in-between the 200 and the 800-period makes EUR/CHF appear to be in a state of suspended animation (at least from a larger perspective).

Traders on a stand-by may look for bullish divergences in momentum, targeting the 800 SMA. A perforation of the 50 SMA below the 200 would switch the tone to bearish.

USD/CNY fix model: Projection at 6.7740 - Nomura

Nomura's model projects the fix to be 99 pips higher than the previous fix (6.7740 from 6.7641) and 32 pips higher than the previous official spot USD
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