Flash: Did market run ahead of itself? Risk for a setback in USD - BBH

FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - The shocking decision by the ECB to cut rates coupled with an upbeat NFP releases last Friday, prompted the US dollar to top the climber's board in the FX market last week, as Marc Chandler, Global Head of Currency Strategy at BBH noites, "the market appears to have run ahead of itself and the immediate risk is for a setback in the dollar."

Key Quotes

"The US jobs data failed to drive the euro below the ECB-spurred lows, which correspond to a (50%) retracement of the rally since July (~$1.3290)."

"The euro traded below its 100-D MA for the first time in two months, though was unable to close the NY session below there."

"The euro is also flirting with the lower of its Bollinger Bands set at two standard deviations below the 20-day moving average."

"Technical indicators allow scope for further euro losses, but they may prove limited before a bounce. Resistance is now seen in the $1.3450-80 area."

Session recap: Another chapter in the currency war? EUR/USD completes 460 pips 2-week decline

The EUR/USD closed on Friday its eighth negative day in the last ten and a 460 pips decline in the last two weeks from 1.3830 to finish the current week at 1.3365. “Two weeks to give up 4 months of gains from July should be pretty significant”, as FXstreet.com chief analyst Valeria Bednarik said in a recent report.
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