Yellen testimony preview: What to expect of EUR/USD

FXStreet (Córdoba) - Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen will testify before the House Financial Services Committee, but the focus there will be on banking regulation. As such, Yellen is not likely to comment on monetary policy or the economic outlook, although it cannot be ruled out either.

Separately, other FOMC members are due to speak today. Governor Brainard will speak on Financial Stability, Philly Fed President Harker on Community Banking, and NYFRB President Dudley on Income Disparity.

Comments on monetary policy from Fed officials could trigger moves in the market, although in the absence of clear hints at a December lift-off, USD response should be limited ahead of Friday’s nonfarm payrolls report.

EUR/USD levels to watch

In terms of technical levels for EUR/USD, immediate supports could be found at 1.0897 (low post-FOMC Oct 28), and 1.0847 (Aug monthly low) ahead of 1.0800 (psychological level). On the flip side, resistances line up at 1.1071 (Oct 30 high), 1.1095 (Oct 28 high) and then 1.1105 (200-day SMA).

Fed’s tightening not justified with inflation still below 2 per cent target

It is well known that the economic recovery in the U.S. has been consistently weak leading the Fed to repeatedly push back the timeframe for raising rates. The U.S. Fed has maintained that the appropriate time to raise rates is when sustained improvement in the labour market is attained and when it is “reasonably confident” that inflation will move back to its 2 per cent target over the medium term.
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EUR/USD retreats further, tests 1.09

The common currency is now trading on a weaker tone against the dollar, taking EUR/USD to challenge the critical support at 1.0900...
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