14 Aug 2015
EUR/USD resilient above 1.11, focus on US CPI
FXStreet (Edinburgh) - The single currency has managed to break above the consolidative pattern around the 1.0900 handle vs. the dollar that has prevailed in the last couple of weeks, although the bull run lost some impetus around the 1.1200 neighbourhood.
PBoC and Fed
The up-move in spot came largely bolstered by the PBoC after devaluating the yuan to 3-year lows vs. the greenback, increasing fears of a potential slowdown in the Chinese economy and prompting investors to slash USD-longs at the same time.
Market expectations of a rate hike by the Federal Reserve in September were drastically trimmed in response to the central bank move, and a sell-off in the greenback soon followed.
However, a solid print in US Retail Sales yesterday, plus better-than-expected Producer Prices and Industrial Production figures today have somewhat reverted the softness around the dollar and revived hopes of a Fed’s lift-off next month.
With Greece practically clinching its third bailout package, the PBoC slowing its pace of devaluation (well, at least that’s what it said) and the door still open for a September hike, the Fed’s ‘data-dependent’ stance has grown in importance in light of the upcoming releases in the US docket, which will prove to be crucial for EUR/USD aspirations of breaking the 1.08-1.14 range either way.
PBoC and Fed
The up-move in spot came largely bolstered by the PBoC after devaluating the yuan to 3-year lows vs. the greenback, increasing fears of a potential slowdown in the Chinese economy and prompting investors to slash USD-longs at the same time.
Market expectations of a rate hike by the Federal Reserve in September were drastically trimmed in response to the central bank move, and a sell-off in the greenback soon followed.
However, a solid print in US Retail Sales yesterday, plus better-than-expected Producer Prices and Industrial Production figures today have somewhat reverted the softness around the dollar and revived hopes of a Fed’s lift-off next month.
With Greece practically clinching its third bailout package, the PBoC slowing its pace of devaluation (well, at least that’s what it said) and the door still open for a September hike, the Fed’s ‘data-dependent’ stance has grown in importance in light of the upcoming releases in the US docket, which will prove to be crucial for EUR/USD aspirations of breaking the 1.08-1.14 range either way.