17 Mar 2015
CBRT to refrain from easing further today – TDS
FXStreet (Edinburgh) - Strategist at TD Securities Paul Fage does not expect the Turkish central bank to cut its benchmark rates further in today’s meeting.
Key Quotes
“We expect the CBRT (Central Bank of Turkey) to keep the Repo Rate on hold at 7.5%. We also expect that the Overnight Lending and Borrowing Rates will be kept on hold at 10.75% and 7.25%, respectively”.
“As important as the rate decision itself is whether the politicians keep quiet after the announcement or whether we get the usual barrage of criticisms of the CBRT. Silence from the politicians could imply that peace really has broken out between Erdogan and Basci and would be positive for the Turkish lira, but we remain sceptical”.
“Looking forward, we expect the CBRT to cut the Repo Rate by 25 bp in April and then again in May in response to the renewed fall in the rate of headline inflation bringing the Repo Rate to a low of 7%”.
“Later in the year we expect rates to go back up again, as the effects of the fall in oil prices starts to disappear out of the Y/Y inflation rate, and as the Fed starts to hike rates”.
Key Quotes
“We expect the CBRT (Central Bank of Turkey) to keep the Repo Rate on hold at 7.5%. We also expect that the Overnight Lending and Borrowing Rates will be kept on hold at 10.75% and 7.25%, respectively”.
“As important as the rate decision itself is whether the politicians keep quiet after the announcement or whether we get the usual barrage of criticisms of the CBRT. Silence from the politicians could imply that peace really has broken out between Erdogan and Basci and would be positive for the Turkish lira, but we remain sceptical”.
“Looking forward, we expect the CBRT to cut the Repo Rate by 25 bp in April and then again in May in response to the renewed fall in the rate of headline inflation bringing the Repo Rate to a low of 7%”.
“Later in the year we expect rates to go back up again, as the effects of the fall in oil prices starts to disappear out of the Y/Y inflation rate, and as the Fed starts to hike rates”.