Canada’s CPI cooled expectations for a rate hike – Growth Aces

FXStreet (Barcelona) - According to the Growth Aces Research Team, the fall in Canada’s inflation from 2.4%yoy in October to 2.0%yoy in November cooled rate hike expectations, and led USD/CAD to make a high at 1.1632.

Key Quotes

“Canada’s inflation rate pulled back in November to 2.0% yoy from October's strong 2.4% yoy, falling short of the median forecast of 2.2% yoy. A 5.9% drop in gasoline prices was the main driver of the slower yearly rise in overall inflation.”

“Core inflation, which strips out volatile items and is closely watched by the Bank of Canada, pulled back to 2.1% yoy, which was also short of expectations for a rise to 2.4% yoy.”

“Canadian retail sales were unchanged in October from September after a rise by 0.8% mom in the previous month. A fall by 0.2% mom was expected. Sales at motor vehicle and parts dealers fell 0.6% mom, while gasoline stations declined 1.1% mom. Retail sales excluding autos and parts were up by 0.2% mom.”

“Inflation cooled expectations for a rate hike.”

“The USD/CAD jumped to 1.1632 after CPI reading but returned near 1.1600 soon.”

“We keep our long position opened at 1.1570. Our target is 1.1740, above highs from July 2009.”

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